Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.017305 0.019247 0.021198 0.023302 0.025500 0.027725 0.030141
2025-04-06 0.013153 0.016149 0.019292 0.022807 0.026600 0.030547 0.034944
2025-04-13 0.010026 0.013520 0.017330 0.021723 0.026585 0.031750 0.037604
2025-04-20 0.008596 0.012524 0.016939 0.022145 0.028010 0.034328 0.041572
2025-04-27 0.007039 0.011187 0.016006 0.021820 0.028484 0.035757 0.044183
2025-05-04 0.005651 0.009893 0.014999 0.021301 0.028645 0.036757 0.046245
2025-05-11 0.004834 0.009219 0.014656 0.021492 0.029560 0.038554 0.049145
2025-05-18 0.003978 0.008396 0.014062 0.021329 0.030018 0.039793 0.051384
2025-05-25 0.003107 0.007444 0.013235 0.020826 0.030032 0.040489 0.052976
2025-06-01 0.002447 0.006704 0.012623 0.020541 0.030267 0.041406 0.054790
2025-06-08 0.001848 0.005963 0.011951 0.020139 0.030328 0.042097 0.056321
2025-06-15 0.001489 0.005555 0.011700 0.020245 0.030982 0.043459 0.058606
2025-06-22 0.001012 0.004878 0.011090 0.019950 0.031239 0.044473 0.060634
2025-06-29 0.000584 0.004150 0.010363 0.019492 0.031306 0.045289 0.062476
2025-07-06 0.000208 0.003254 0.009278 0.018487 0.030647 0.045207 0.063244
2025-07-13 0.000108 0.003035 0.009230 0.018879 0.031731 0.047198 0.066423
2025-07-20 0.000013 0.002562 0.008707 0.018577 0.031910 0.048083 0.068287
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002074 0.008086 0.018097 0.031832 0.048634 0.069741
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001859 0.007933 0.018274 0.032595 0.050202 0.072389
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001560 0.007571 0.018122 0.032913 0.051213 0.074365
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001204 0.007022 0.017657 0.032795 0.051672 0.075671
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000945 0.006622 0.017394 0.032929 0.052430 0.077323
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000697 0.006172 0.017023 0.032901 0.052974 0.078706